Bait taken, Seth.
In response to Seth’s excellent reaction to my post from
Wednesday, I’m going to disagree with him in the most agreeable way possible: I disagree that he disagrees with me. In fact, I think we’re both right. But don’t take my word for it; let’s let V.O.
Key decide.
Seth is absolutely correct about the powers and influence of
modern local party organizations and the role they play in recruiting,
electing, and re-electing candidates. While party bosses may not exist today,
there are state and local party leaders who play a heavy hand in candidate
selection.
What these modern “bosses” lack is the quid-pro-quo spoils
of government jobs that were the defining feature of party machines. This means that while modern party leaders
play a strong role in candidate selection, they do not have as many resources
to provide (potential) candidates in terms of insurance against election
losses. This hampers leaders’ ability to
recruit strong challengers to sitting incumbents, resulting in less competitive
general election contests. Indeed in
many districts across the country, the “real” contest in the district occurs at
the primary stage, not the general election stage. But it’s fair to say that once the state and
local party leaders have anointed a candidate, that candidate rarely loses.
But we’re still left with Seth’s puzzle with regard to how
this affects polarization in Congress:
Why would more independent
candidates be more likely to vote along party lines? If politicians are free to
distance themselves from their parties, shouldn't we be seeing a less polarized
Congress?
This is where the seminal work of V.O. Key comes in. In his
book Politics, Parties and Pressure Groups, Key argues that we should think of
parties as having three distinct, but related, components: parties as
organizations (e.g., the DNC and RNC), parties in government (e.g., the Democratic and Republican
caucuses in Congress), and parties in the electorate (e.g., the party ID that voters hold). As part of the electorate, candidates are free
to distance themselves from parties as much as they want during the campaign,
especially if it helps them get elected.
But once in office, the expectations change. The distinct organization of parties in
Congress means that party leaders can effectively “whip” their rank-and-file.
The distinction between parties in the electorate and parties in government
gives state and local party leaders the power and tools they need to select
formidable candidates and help them ward off strong challengers, while giving
the party leaders in Congress the whipping powers to create strong voting
coalitions in Congress.
If V.O. Key’s description of parties is right, then Seth is
right that local party leaders have formidable powers of candidate recruitment,
and I’m right that this can still lead to weak contests in the general election
and strong party coalitions in Congress, which contributes to polarization.
Why would more independent candidates be more likely to vote along party lines? If politicians are free to distance themselves from their parties, shouldn't we be seeing a less polarized Congress?
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There are state and local party leaders who play a heavy hand in candidate selection.
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But it’s fair to say that once the state and local party leaders have anointed a candidate, that candidate rarely loses.
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That once the state and local party leaders have anointed a candidate, that candidate rarely loses.
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