Wednesday, January 2, 2013

The fiscal cliff vote: Who voted no?

Below is a histogram of the House vote on the Senate's fiscal cliff resolution from yesterday, broken down by members' ideal points:
As we can see, the no votes overwhelmingly came from the Republican side, and from the more conservative members within the Republican caucus. Interestingly, the more liberal members within each caucus were more likely to support the bill (and that's statistically significant), although that relationship is much stronger among Republicans.

Update: Among Republicans, the second dimension negatively predicts passage (p≤.01), so I assume there's something in the bill that helps bi-metalists.

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